Why a trader says a Bitcoin bottom is close, based on a key technical structure

 Why a trader says a Bitcoin bottom is close, based on a key technical structure


Scott Melker, a cryptocurrency dealer and the writer of The Wolf Den E-newsletter, believes a short-term Bitcoin backside is shut.

Melker typically makes use of the relative energy index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour and 6-hour candle chart time frames to determine potential development reversals.

The RSI is an indicator that’s used to guage whether or not an asset is overbought or oversold. If the RSI is over 75, the asset is overbought, and whether it is beneath 30, it’s oversold.

Bitcoin not oversold, however the backside is probably going quickly

Technically, Melker explained that Bitcoin just isn’t but oversold, at the very least on the 6-hour timeframe.

However, a bullish divergence with the RSI has been confirmed, Melker stated. The 12-hour candle chart would additionally quickly affirm the identical construction, which might be optimistic for BTC within the close to time period. He wrote:

“6 hour bull div with RSI confirmed. 12 hour prone to affirm in 40 minutes. We had iffy divs on decrease time frames yesterday constructing to those. Neither reached oversold. Can nonetheless drop and make bigger div, however backside ‘ought to’ be in or shut. Ought to.”

6-hour value chart of Bitcoin. Supply: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

There are additionally elementary the explanation why a short-term Bitcoin reduction rally may happen.

First, yesterday, on January 27, the premium of Bitcoin on Coinbase rose considerably, reaching $200 at one level.

Though the worth of Bitcoin naturally trades barely larger on Coinbase than ordinary, this means that high-net-worth traders had been aggressively accumulating the dip.

This development explains the swift development reversal Bitcoin noticed beneath $30,000, recovering to round $31,000 inside a number of hours.

Whales are doubtless making an attempt to defend the $30,000 help space from being damaged, as breaking beneath $30,000 would end in a extra complicated correction.

What occurs subsequent?

A pseudonymous dealer generally known as “Salsa Tekila” stated the present value motion reminds him of September 2020.

On the time, Bitcoin appeared to be breaking down, however a bullish engulfing every day candle brought on a development reversal, main the BTC rally. He said:

“The $BTC value motion noticed yesterday jogs my memory of September 24, 2020. I used to be massively brief that day, betting on a break-down. The sell-side acquired BTFO impulsively after dip consumers present up. Somebody huge had purchased. I see similarities with the 30k neighborhood. May very well be flawed.”

Within the foreseeable future, Bitcoin overtaking the $33,000 degree is essential for a short-term resumption of the rally. Till BTC solidifies $33,000 as a help degree as soon as once more, the development stays impartial to bearish.

However one optimistic development is that stablecoin deposits to exchanges are rising as soon as once more. This reveals that sidelined capital is transferring again into the Bitcoin market, which may end in a short-term catalyst for BTC.

The worth of Bitcoin already rose from round $30,500 to over $31,500 as stablecoin deposits rose.

Bitcoin, at the moment ranked #1 by market cap, is up 5.53% over the previous 24 hours. BTC has a market cap of $604.69B with a 24 hour quantity of $68.88B.

Bitcoin Worth Chart

BTCUSD Chart by TradingView

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